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May 2024 / RETIREMENT INSIGHTS

The Importance of Defined Benefit Plan Design

Defined benefit plans don’t all impact glide paths the same way.

Key Insights

  • It is an oversimplification to assume all defined benefit (DB) plans impact glide path design for an accompanying defined contribution (DC) plan the same way.
  • Accrual formulas and forms of payment within a DB plan are the features that seem to have the greatest potential impact on an accompanying DC glide path. 
  • Using scenario analysis, we evaluated several common DB plan designs to show how each one affected the equity level and slope of a hypothetical glide path.

There are considerations that DC plan sponsors face when they want to optimize outcomes holistically across their retirement benefit offerings, including their defined benefit plan. DB plans encompass more structures than the common perception of a fixed dollar pension payable for life. 

In this fifth installment of our Making the Benefit Connection series, we expand the notion of defined benefits to cover more of the category space. To this end, we used our proprietary models to construct a collection of hypothetical DC glide paths designed to be optimal complements for DB plans featuring varying benefit levels and payment patterns. 

We used scenario analysis to compare these complementary glide paths across several features, including their shape and our full suite of metrics. This allowed us to explore the impact that the specific structure of a sponsor’s DB benefits can have on the characteristics of an accompanying DC glide path.

Our results highlight the fact that it is a critical oversimplification to assume that different DB plan structures will influence the glide path for a companion DC plan in essentially the same way. In reality, the type of plan and its structural features—such as the form of payment, the accrual formula, and the inclusion or absence of cost-of-living indexing—can have a major impact on the level and slope of equity exposure in the glide path design. 

Representative plan designs and considerations

Up to this point in our series, we have assumed that defined benefit plans adhere to a structure like that of a fixed annuity. More specifically, we’ve assumed that payments are derived via a benefit formula incorporating tenure and salary: 

Normal retirement benefit at normal retirement date = 1% x average of final five years of pay x years of service.

Traditionally, this type of final average pay (FAP) plan was common in corporate plans. Many sponsors understand that they can, for example, provide richer benefits by offering a replacement multiplier greater than 1% or provide lower-valued benefits (the more common trend recently) by considering the career salary average rather than the final five years, by capping the years of tenure used in the benefit calculation, or simply by reducing the multiplier. 

Other changes have had more profound impacts. For example, like Social Security benefits, a defined benefit can include a cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) to attempt to maintain the real value of the payout over time. This is a more common feature in public pension plans. Historically, equity has often been considered a hedge against inflation in DC plans. But if an inflation hedge is built directly into the in-plan source of guaranteed income, DC plan participants may not need as much equity in their glide paths to perform this function, allowing sponsors to try to reduce balance variability by lowering the allocation to equity. 

Cash balance (CB) plans, which often offer participants lump-sum options at retirement, have an entirely different benefit accrual and payout structure than their FAP counterparts. During employment, the plan sponsor issues credits to the employee, who accumulates a notional account balance. 

There are two types of credits common to these plans: pay credits determined by a predefined formula, and interest credits, which often have an annually changing yield or investment return that determines the size of the credit. 

Since the balance in a CB plan often acts like an allocation to low-risk fixed income assets during the benefit accrual phase, a participant’s remaining wealth held in a DC plan potentially could be invested in assets with a higher growth orientation than would be the case for a participant with a FAP plan. 

Since most employees do take lump‑sum benefits when offered, our analysis assumed that once a cash balance benefit had been paid, it was invested and allocated according to the accompanying DC glide path.2 Further details of the assumptions behind our cash balance plan example can be found in the Appendix.

Different DB plan structures may have different impacts

(Fig. 1) Glide paths for a hypothetical DC plan only vs. DC plan + various DB types

 

Line chart of glide paths for a hypothetical defined contribution plan where the lines represent equity allocations for participants in a standalone defined contribution plan and for those who also are covered by three defined benefit plan structures: a cash balance plan, a final average pay plan, and a final average pay plan with cost-of-living adjustments.

Source: T. Rowe Price.
For illustrative purposes only. Not representative of an actual investment or T. Rowe Price product. This analysis contains information derived from a Monte Carlo simulation. See Appendix and Additional Disclosure for important information.

Glide path comparison

Figure 1 shows the plots of the optimal hypothetical glide paths calculated by our model for the baseline case of a standalone DC plan and for the same DC plan design accompanied by examples of three different DB designs:

  1. fixed yearly benefits based on a final average pay formula, 
  2. the same FAP plan with a COLA indexed to the U.S. consumer price index with a 0% floor,
  3. a CB plan. 

Figure 2 shows the relative differences in equity allocation at various points along these glide paths with respect to the baseline case of a hypothetical optimal glide path without an accompanying DB plan. 

Optimal equity levels can vary widely

(Fig. 2) Percentage point changes in glide path equity relative to a DC plan-only baseline 

Line chart of glide paths where the lines represent equity allocations for defined contribution participants who also are covered by a cash balance, final average pay, and final average pay with cost-of-living adjustments defined benefit plan, relative to a glide path for participants in a standalone defined contribution plan.

Source: T. Rowe Price.
For illustrative purposes only. Not representative of an actual investment or T. Rowe Price product. This analysis contains information derived from a Monte Carlo simulation. This is not intended to be investment advice or a recommendation to take any particular investment action. See Appendix and Additional Disclosure for important information.

In our simulations, the CB plan indeed acted like a low-risk asset, resulting in higher optimal equity levels in the glide path for the accompanying DC plan during working years compared with the FAP plan and significantly higher equity exposure during retirement. This is because the lump-sum infusion of cash from the CB benefit had to continue to work hard during retirement to maintain preretirement consumption levels in the absence of guaranteed payments. In fact, in our simulations, the glide path for a DC plan accompanied by a CB plan that paid out in lump sums looked quite similar to the glide path for DC participants who did not have access to a DB plan after retirement. 

Our assumed FAP plan with a COLA was, by explicit design, richer than a nonindexed FAP plan (whereas our CB plan was designed to be roughly cost and benefit equivalent to the nonindexed FAP plan). For the FAP plan with COLA, as for the nonindexed FAP, the resulting lower-equity glide path was an example of what we call the wealth effect. In short, since wealth is one source of utility in our model, having the added wealth from a DB plan led our model to decide that there was less need for utility from DC plan-supported consumption, allowing the DC plan to reduce risk and still achieve a good outcome, in our view.

However, the optimal glide path for a FAP plan with a COLA was even steeper during the working years because not as much real growth was needed from equities, thanks to the inflation hedge provided by the indexed DB benefit. Consequently, under our assumed preferences, the model lowered glide path equity levels in an effort to reduce risk and maintain utility from wealth. Meanwhile, the DB pension payments, in addition to Social Security benefits, provided consumption-based utility. 

Consumption comparison

Consumption during retirement is not limited to the sum of Social Security and pension payments, but having both sources of income—each including its own method of real income replacement—can significantly reduce withdrawals from savings, represented here by the DC plan.

Figure 3 shows the median level of total consumption supported by each plan. Understanding the sources of consumption (shown here as median results from a broader Monte Carlo simulation) helped inform why the glide path shapes in Figure 3 differed, particularly after retirement. Figure 4 shows the sources of the consumption totals.

FAP plans may support higher retirement consumption

(Fig. 3) Median consumption support from a hypothetical DC plan only vs. DC plan + various DB structures 

Line chart of retirement consumption support under different plan structures where the lines represent the median support provided from ages 65 to 100 by a hypothetical standalone defined contribution plan and by a defined contribution plan combined with a cash balance, final average pay, and final average pay with cost-of-living adjustments defined benefit plan.

Source: T. Rowe Price. Results shown are hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. This does not represent the results of an actual investment or T. Rowe Price product. Actual outcomes may differ materially. This analysis contains information derived from a Monte Carlo simulation. See Appendix and Additional Disclosure for important information on the analysis.

Notice that the consumption levels supported by the CB plan dropped most quickly after age 90, when they started to diverge noticeably from those provided by the nonindexed FAP plan. This is because the dwindling balance in the CB plan could not keep pace with the continued guaranteed payments in the FAP plan. 

In the baseline case where there was no companion DB plan, the significantly higher equity allocation in the glide path throughout the accumulation phase provided a sufficient cushion, at the median, to meet consumption needs. In the simulations that included either a nonindexed FAP plan or a FAP with COLA, the guaranteed income streams alleviated the burden on savings, supporting consumption late into life.  

Sensitivity to inputs

Consumption is supported by various plan design combinations

 (Fig. 4) Consumption sources for a hypothetical DC plan only and a DC plan + various DB structures

A group of four area charts of consumption sources from ages 65 to 100 for participants in a hypothetical standalone defined contribution plan where the areas represent the dollar contributions made by Social Security benefits, defined benefit plan benefits, and defined contribution plan balances over time for participants in a standalone defined contribution plan and for those in a defined contribution plan combined with various defined benefit plan structures.

*Assumes full balance rollover into DC plan at retirement.
Source: T. Rowe Price.
Results shown are hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. This does not represent the results of an actual investment or T. Rowe Price product. Actual outcomes may differ materially. This analysis contains information derived from a Monte Carlo simulation. See Appendix and Additional Disclosure for important information on the analysis.

Under our standard assumptions, the structure of a DB plan is an important consideration in determining an optimal glide path. These assumptions represent what we believe are reasonable sponsor goals, participant preferences, and demographic characteristics. However, we realize that it is unlikely that a specific plan sponsor will map to all of these exact assumptions. This being the case, we wanted to investigate what happened to the DB plan’s effect on the glide path when we modified certain assumptions. Specifically, we wanted to know if the results shown in Figures 1 and 2 persisted. 

In other words, were the optimal glide paths in our scenarios still as dependent on DB plan structure if we assumed that plan sponsors had different preferences than those incorporated in our original assumptions?

An important feature of our model is its explicit, numerical representations of plan sponsor goals for their DC plan. One such goal is setting the relative importance of consumption versus wealth. At the plan level, this manifests as a parameter in the model that can seek to limit exposure to market fluctuations in an effort to reduce balance variability over time. However, lower potential exposure to market fluctuations comes at the cost of an overall lower expected level of consumption over the long term. Alternatively, the model can seek higher growth in order to maintain higher consumption, at the risk of exposing participants to higher balance variability in the short term. 

Rather than using one single set of assumed preferences, our practice is to vary them. This can produce a range of possible glide paths in our simulations that we call the suitability envelope. The boundaries of each of the envelopes shown in Figure 5 reflect slight adjustments to the specific parameter in our model representing the trade-off between consumption and wealth. 

Results were directionally robust regardless of sponsor preferences

 (Fig. 5) Hypothetical suitability envelopes under differing wealth vs. consumption preferences 

A group of four line charts of hypothetical glide paths for defined contribution participants with differing wealth and consumption preferences. One chart shows equity allocations for participants in a standalone defined contribution plan while the other three show defined contribution plans combined with different defined benefit plan structures. The lines in each chart represent glide paths for participants who prefer less balance variability and for those who prefer higher consumption support in retirement. Suitability envelopes for these differing preferences are indicated by shaded areas.

Source: T. Rowe Price. 
For illustrative purposes only. Not representative of an actual investment or T. Rowe Price product. This analysis contains information derived from a Monte Carlo simulation. See Appendix and Additional Disclosure for important information. This is not intended to be investment advice or a recommendation to take any particular investment action.

When we reran the simulations under different DB plan structures, we found that similarly sized suitability ranges were generated for all of them. This suggests that the initial results shown in Figures 1 and 2 were directionally robust, even for plan sponsors with different retirement objectives for their participants.

Another parameter we can adjust in our model is the percentage of preretirement consumption a participant is attempting to replace. The hypothetical glide paths shown so far in this paper incorporated our default assumption of a goal of fully replacing 100% of real preretirement spending. As we modified this target in 10% increments in our simulations, we again found that the model traced out comparable glide path ranges (Figure 6), confirming that the direction of the original analysis held even when different levels of retirement consumption were assumed.

Results also were robust regardless of income replacement objectives

(Fig. 6) Hypothetical suitability ranges under varying consumption replacement targets 

A group of four line charts of hypothetical glide paths for defined contribution participants with varying consumption replacement targets where the first chart shows equity allocations for a standalone defined contribution plan and the other three charts show defined contribution plans combined with different defined benefit plan structures. The lines in each chart represent glide paths for consumption replacement targets ranging from 70% to 90%.

Source: T. Rowe Price. For illustrative purposes only. Not representative of an actual investment or T. Rowe Price product. This analysis contains information derived from a Monte Carlo simulation. This is not intended to be investment advice or a recommendation to take any particular investment action. See Appendix and Additional Disclosure for important information.

Conclusions

DB plans come with a variety of features we have investigated here, most notably the form of the benefit payments. (Plan benefits also may include early retirement subsidies—a feature we explore in a subsequent installment of the Making the Benefit Connection series.)

Generally, the existence of an inflation-indexed benefit option, as is common in many U.S. public DB plans, will cause a glide path to de-risk the equity level more quickly during the accumulation phase compared with a FAP plan that only offers nominal benefits—a more common feature in corporate plans.  

However, because cash balance beneficiaries often roll their lump-sum benefits into their DC plans at retirement but generally do not assume market risk on these assets until retirement, our model reduces equity exposure more slowly during the accumulation phase when there is a companion CB plan but reduces it more quickly during the later postretirement years as the full value of the CB lump-sum benefit is exposed to market fluctuations.

In our view, these nuances suggest that plan sponsors should carefully consider not only the retirement preparedness (wealth) generated by their DB plans, but also the pattern of accrual and the timing of the payouts provided. In our analysis, these results held regardless of plan sponsor preferences for wealth accumulation and consumption.

Appendix

Key modeling plan design parameters

Cash balance plan: The plan modeled throughout this analysis had the benefit structure shown in Figure A1, with the lump‑sum benefit payable at retirement and rolled entirely into the companion DC plan.

The annual interest credit was assumed to be a minimum of 3% or the current yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note.

Hypothetical DC plan: Our starting assumption was a safe harbor plan design with the employer matching up to 100% of the first 3% of employee deferrals and 50% of the next 2%. We assumed all contributions were pretax and that contributions increased over time according to our proprietary deferral rate growth model.

Demographic analysis: We assumed that participant incomes grew in line with a proprietary salary growth model calibrated on the T. Rowe Price DC recordkeeping platform. Participants were assumed to retire at age 65 and begin withdrawing income to support a steady, inflation-adjusted level of spending over retirement.

DC objective preferences: DC plan sponsors have various investment focuses and desired planning horizons. These include the relative preference for consumption support versus balance variability modeled in Figure 5. Both levers are a part of our utility model and can be calibrated using intuitive and comprehensible metrics, such as weighted balance volatility.

Projections or other information generated regarding the likelihood of certain outcomes are not guarantees of future results. This analysis is based on assumptions, and there can be no assurance that the projected results will be achieved or sustained. Actual results will vary, and such results may be better or worse than the assumed scenarios.

(Fig. A1) Annual pay credit

Age + Years of Service

Pay Credit Percentage

Less Than 40

4%

40–50

5%

50–60

6%

60–70

7%

70–80

8%

80 or More

9%

This material was prepared for use in the United States for U.S.-based plan sponsors, consultants, and advisors, and the material reflects the current retirement environment in the U.S. It is also available to Canadian-based plan sponsors, consultants and advisors for reference. There are many differences between the two nations’ retirement plan offerings and structures. Therefore, this material is offered to accredited investors in Canada for educational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation or offer of any product or service.

Important Information

This material is being furnished for general informational and/or marketing purposes only. The material does not constitute or undertake to give advice of any nature, including fiduciary investment advice. Prospective investors are recommended to seek independent legal, financial and tax advice before making any investment decision. T. Rowe Price group of companies including T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. and/or its affiliates receive revenue from T. Rowe Price investment products and services. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The value of an investment and any income from it can go down as well as up. Investors may get back less than the amount invested.

The material does not constitute a distribution, an offer, an invitation, a personal or general recommendation or solicitation to sell or buy any securities in any jurisdiction or to conduct any particular investment activity. The material has not been reviewed by any regulatory authority in any jurisdiction.

Information and opinions presented have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable and current; however, we cannot guarantee the sources’ accuracy or completeness. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. The views contained herein are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice; these views may differ from those of other T. Rowe Price group companies and/or associates. Under no circumstances should the material, in whole or in part, be copied or redistributed without consent from T. Rowe Price.

The material is not intended for use by persons in jurisdictions which prohibit or restrict the distribution of the material and in certain countries the material is provided upon specific request. It is not intended for distribution to retail investors in any jurisdiction.

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© 2024 T. Rowe Price. All Rights Reserved. T. ROWE PRICE, INVEST WITH CONFIDENCE, and the Bighorn Sheep design are, collectively and/or apart, trademarks of T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.

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