In the Spotlight
Two questions on U.S. equities with…Gabe Solomon
Portfolio Manager Gabe Solomon discusses his outlook for U.S. large-cap value equities.
Key Insights
  • Portfolio Manager Gabe Solomon discusses three key areas where he is finding attractive U.S. value equity opportunities in 2024.
  • Given the wide differential in valuation between U.S. value and growth stocks, value looks well positioned to close this gap over the coming year.     
  • Following recent instability in U.S. regional banking, Portfolio Manager Gabe Solomon is very constructive on the outlook for U.S. banks, and regional banks in particular.
Transcript

Looking ahead, we see opportunities in three areas.

The first is in the democratization of AI.

The market has taken an extremely narrow focus in terms of deciding who is going to benefit from AI.

We believe that the benefits will be much more widespread and as a result of our work, we firmly believe that the market is significantly underestimating a handful of stocks and the opportunities that they will have.

The second area that we're very excited about is that we believe that the classic value areas of banks and energy are much better positioned for the next decade than they had been for the prior decade.

On the bank side, the companies had survived the storm of 2023 very well.

Capital positions and liquidity positions are very strong in the industry, and we also believe that the stocks are inexpensive.

There's some option value for things that can work out very positively in their favor.

The first is that we believe that there's going to be a significant increase of CapEx[1] and manufacturing investment in the Midwest.

And we believe that that's going to drive loan growth in this cycle.

Additionally, we also believe that there's a bipartisan effort to lessen some of the onerous capital requirements that have lowered the ROEs[2] for the banks.

Finally, the third area is that we believe value in general is very well positioned.

The differential in valuations between value and growth stocks is near all-time wides, and as a result of the fact that we see positive fundamental backdrop for a lot of these stocks—like I mentioned banks and energy—we believe that value is well positioned to outperform.

We're generally very constructive on the US banks and especially on the regional banks.

We believe that the industry weathered the storm of 2023 very well and came out with strong capital ratios, liquidity, and we believe that the banks are well positioned going forward.

There are a couple specific catalysts that we see as opportunities.

The first is that the prospects of banks are a function of the underlying economies that they serve.

So, we are particularly excited about the Midwest banks because we believe that there's going to be a lot of investment in manufacturing, bringing jobs back onshore as well as building strength and redundancy in supply chains.

Additionally, the banks have also benefited from the fact that, at the worst point of 2023, the expectation was that there was going to be approximately a 20% hit to earnings longer term as a result of the increased capital requirement that were going to come as a result of the 2023 crisis.

 

[1] Capital expenditure

[2] Return on equity

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Important Information

This material is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice or a recommendation to take any particular investment action.

The views contained herein are those of the authors as of June 2024 and are subject to change without notice; these views may differ from those of other T. Rowe Price associates.

This information is not intended to reflect a current or past recommendation concerning investments, investment strategies, or account types, advice of any kind, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investment services. The opinions and commentary provided do not take into account the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular investor or class of investor. Please consider your own circumstances before making an investment decision.

Information contained herein is based upon sources we consider to be reliable; we do not, however, guarantee its accuracy. Actual outcomes may differ materially from any forward‑looking statements made.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. All investments are subject to market risk, including the possible loss of principal. The value approach to investing carries the risk that the market will not recognize a security’s intrinsic value for a long time or that a stock judged to be undervalued may actually be appropriately priced. Financial services companies may be hurt when interest rates rise sharply and may be vulnerable to rapidly rising inflation. All charts and tables are shown for illustrative purposes only.

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